财新传媒 财新传媒

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A delayed collapse of China.

Gordon Chang’s 2001 book “The Coming Collapse of China” was a bestseller partly because its central message was what many western readers wanted to hear.

The book has spent 19 years on my bookshelf. Today, non-performing loans in China’s banking system are far bigger, both in magnitude and in percentage to banking assets or GDP. But a collapse has not happened.

I am going to wait no longer. To create space for other books, I have dumped Gordon’s book in a trash bin.

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张化桥

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香港慢牛投资公司董事长。瑞士银行11年 (研究主管/投行副主管)。86-89年任职人行总行。五年(2001-05)"机构投资者"杂志评选的中国分析师第一名。

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