财新传媒 财新传媒

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Where are the jobless?

China’s economy has been slowing for 4-5 years. But monetary stimulus has a bad name. So where are the armies of jobless?

They are everywhere. Huge numbers of migrant workers have gone back to their roots in the countryside. I count 12-15 of my cousins and their grown-up kids who have done so in the past 3-4 years. In the countryside they earn much less but their cost of living is also lower now. “I cannot afford to work in Shenzhen any more”, chuckles Jinghuai, my cousin, a lorry driver, who has gone back to rural Hubei Province where we grew up together.

Also out of work are armies of privileged university graduates who have grown up in the cities. They cannot get the kind of jobs they desire and are squandering their time with WeChat.

Dashed hopes all around. And tensions are rising but not alarmingly.

Last night I met a senior executive at Morris, a big sofa-maker based in coastal Zhejiang Province. He complained about difficulties of hiring enough workers.
 

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张化桥

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香港慢牛投资公司董事长。瑞士银行11年 (研究主管/投行副主管)。86-89年任职人行总行。五年(2001-05)"机构投资者"杂志评选的中国分析师第一名。

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